| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellarmine | 0% | 1¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 1¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jacksonville | 0% | 1¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which side—Jacksonville, Bellarmine, or a tie—will be leading at the end of the first half. First-half outcomes matter to traders because they capture early-game advantages, matchups, and coaching plans that can be distinct from full-game results.
Jacksonville and Bellarmine are college basketball programs whose matchups are often decided by early rotations, tempo, and shooting variance. Head-to-head history and recent first-half trends provide useful context, but roster turnover, injuries, and short-term form can change the dynamics from game to game.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations of traders and update as new information arrives; use them as a snapshot of current market sentiment rather than a guarantee of outcome.
The outcome is determined by which team is leading on the official scoreboard at the end of the first half (end of the second quarter). If the score is tied at that point, the 'Tie' outcome resolves.
The marketplace lists the close time as TBD; for this specific event watch the KALSHI event page for the official lock time and any updates from the platform.
Players who handle possessions early—starting point guards, primary scorers, and interior rebounders—tend to have the biggest impact, as do role players who provide immediate bench scoring or perimeter defense.
Early fouls or injuries that remove starters or change rotations can materially shift in-game expectations and usually trigger rapid market movements for this first-half outcome.
This market resolves based on the official end-of-first-half score; overtime does not affect it. If the game is postponed or canceled, resolution follows KALSHI's event rules—check the platform's resolution policy for how such situations are handled for this event.