| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 91% | 90¢ | 91¢ | — | $171K | Trade → |
| Italy | 10% | 9¢ | 10¢ | — | $60K | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which team will win the sporting match labeled 'Italy vs USA.' It matters because it aggregates public expectations about the match outcome and provides a way to trade on how likely each side is to win.
Italy and the United States have met across multiple sports and competitive contexts; exact historical patterns and tactical matchups depend on the sport and competition for this specific fixture. Because the event's closing time is listed as TBD, up-to-date information about venue, rosters, and stakes should be checked as the match approaches.
Market prices reflect the crowd-implied likelihood of each outcome and will move as new information arrives (lineups, injuries, weather, tournament stakes). Treat prices as a continuously updating signal of market sentiment rather than a fixed prediction of the future.
This market lists two outcomes: one outcome representing an Italy win and the other representing a USA win. There is no separate outcome for a draw in this market.
The event's close time is currently listed as TBD; the market will resolve according to KALSHI's rules after the official match result is confirmed by the event organizer and reported on the platform.
Resolution in cases of postponement, cancellation, or outcomes not listed (for example a draw) follows the platform's cancellation and resolution policies—check the market terms on the event page or KALSHI's rulebook for the specific handling procedures.
Watch official lineup releases, injury and suspension confirmations, last-minute travel or weather advisories, and in-game events (early goals, red cards); these items typically cause the largest price movements.
Use the official competition organizer or national federation websites, the official match report and broadcast, and the market's resolution notices on KALSHI to verify final results and participant information.