| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | 71% | 70¢ | 71¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| Tie | 4% | 2¢ | 3¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Italy | 29% | 27¢ | 29¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on the outcome of the Italy vs England match (three-outcome market). It matters because market prices summarize how participants assess each team’s chances and react to news before kickoff.
Italy and England are established national teams with a long competitive history; past meetings, tournament context, and recent head-to-head results shape public expectations. The match’s importance (friendly, qualifier, or tournament) and timing influence team selection and intensity, so check the official fixture context on the event page.
Market prices reflect the consensus view of participants and move as new information arrives (lineups, injuries, weather, tactical changes). Use prices as a real-time signal of shifting expectations, not a definitive forecast.
The market close is listed as TBD on the event page; most event markets close shortly before kickoff or when the outcome is no longer contestable. Check this Kalshi event page for official closure updates.
A three-outcome market typically corresponds to Team A win, draw, and Team B win. Confirm which label corresponds to Italy, draw, and England on the platform’s outcome list before trading.
Announcements of starting lineups and any late withdrawals often move market prices because they change perceived strengths and matchups; the impact depends on the profile of the player changed (e.g., key attacker or goalkeeper).
Venue influences travel fatigue, crowd support, and familiarity with the pitch; a home venue usually confers an advantage, while neutral venues can level conditions—check the fixture location on the event page.
Volume indicates market interest and liquidity: higher volume generally means prices are backed by more trades and may be more stable, while low volume can produce larger price swings in response to single trades or news.