| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela wins by over 2.5 runs | 85% | 3¢ | 96¢ | — | $29 | Trade → |
| Israel wins by over 2.5 runs | 85% | 3¢ | 30¢ | — | $20 | Trade → |
| Venezuela wins by over 1.5 runs | 85% | 3¢ | 95¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Israel wins by over 1.5 runs | 0% | 3¢ | 50¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market covers the sporting matchup titled "Israel vs Venezuela" on KALSHI and matters because it aggregates trader expectations about the match outcome(s) into market prices that update as new information arrives.
Context for this event includes each side's recent match form, roster availability, and where the game is being played; these elements drive match dynamics. International fixtures can be affected by travel, scheduling congestion, and the composition of squads (full-strength national teams vs. experimental lineups). Historical head-to-head data between these two countries may be limited, so recent performances and squad news often carry more weight.
Market prices on KALSHI represent the collective assessment of traders and change in real time as new information (lineups, injuries, weather, news) becomes available; treat them as a dynamic indicator rather than a fixed forecast.
The market close time is listed as TBD; check the KALSHI event page for updates and set alerts for the posted closing time before the match.
Outcome labels are set by the market creator; they commonly represent distinct match results or props (for example, win/draw/loss or score-range options). Confirm the exact wording of each of the four outcomes on the KALSHI event page to know what each pays out.
Total volume traded shows how much money has changed hands in the market so far and is an indicator of liquidity and trader interest; low volume means prices may be more volatile and sensitive to single trades or new information.
Late-confirmed starters, withdrawals, or key absences can shift market expectations quickly; traders often react immediately to official team sheets and credible media reports, so expect prices to move around lineup releases.
Head-to-head history can provide context but is often less decisive than recent form, roster quality, and the specific competition context; consult historical results for patterns but weigh them alongside current squad and match conditions.