| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela | 94% | 94¢ | 96¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Israel | 8% | 4¢ | 7¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on which team will win the Israel vs Venezuela matchup; it matters because markets aggregate expectations about the match outcome and respond to new information in real time.
Context depends on the competition (friendly, qualifier, or tournament) and the rosters each side fields; Israel and Venezuela rarely meet regularly, so travel, differing competitive calendars, and squad selection often shape the matchup. Historical head-to-head data may be limited, so short-term form, coach decisions, and recent results are typically more informative than long-ago encounters.
Market prices reflect the consensus of traders at a given moment and move as new information arrives; with limited volume, prices should be treated as an evolving signal rather than a definitive forecast.
The market close is listed as TBD; typically these markets close at the official start time of the match or when the platform sets a closing time. Check the KALSHI market page for the announced close and watch for trade suspensions at kickoff.
This market has two outcomes: one corresponding to an Israel win and one corresponding to a Venezuela win. The market will resolve according to KALSHI's definition of the official match result.
Monitor official lineup releases and verified injury reports: changes to expected starters, especially goalkeepers, starting pitchers, or primary scorers, can materially affect expectations. Prices often move sharply in the minutes before kickoff, so confirm sources and act with caution near match time.
Low total volume indicates limited liquidity: individual trades can move prices significantly, consensus signals are weaker, and spreads may be wider. Expect higher volatility and consider that prices may change abruptly on small amounts of new information.
Resolution follows KALSHI's market rules: some markets require a completed match within regulation or after any governing competition's tie-breaking procedures, while postponed or abandoned fixtures may lead to voiding or delayed settlement. Review the market rules or contact KALSHI support for the specific settlement policy.