| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 3¢ | 97¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 6.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 3¢ | 97¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 4.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 3¢ | 96¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 3¢ | 97¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 3.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 3¢ | 96¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 0.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 3¢ | 97¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 3¢ | 97¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market settles on the combined number of runs scored by Israel and Venezuela during the first five innings of their game. It matters for traders who want to isolate early-game scoring risk rather than full-game outcomes.
This is a sports market on KALSHI for a head-to-head international baseball matchup between Israel and Venezuela, often contested in tournaments where roster composition can change rapidly. Early-game scoring in such fixtures is driven by announced starting pitchers, lineup construction, and tactical choices like using an 'opener' or top relievers early; the market currently shows 'Closes: TBD', so watch for a confirmed close time before the game.
Market odds aggregate trader expectations about scoring through inning five and update as new information arrives (lineups, pitcher changes, weather). Use the odds as a real-time sentiment signal, not as a fixed forecast—monitor updates up to market close.
It is the sum of runs scored by both teams during innings one through five inclusive; resolution will follow KALSHI's official event rules, so check those for handling of suspended or shortened games.
The event currently lists 'Closes: TBD'; typically these markets close at or shortly before the scheduled first pitch, but you should monitor the market page for the announced close time and any last-minute changes.
Confirmed starting pitchers and the top three spots in each batting order are the highest-impact items; also watch for late scratches of power hitters or unexpected pitcher substitutions.
Resolution in cases of delay or abbreviated games depends on KALSHI's event rules; some platforms require a minimum number of innings for a valid outcome, while others use official scoring at the time of suspension—check the event rules linked on the market page.
Historical tendencies can offer context, but roster and pitching changes across tournaments mean past meetings are only one input; examine recent starts by the announced pitchers and team scoring rates in comparable competition for a more relevant signal.