| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel -2.5 first 5 innings | 0% | 1¢ | 80¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Netherlands -1.5 first 5 innings | 0% | 1¢ | 80¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Israel -1.5 first 5 innings | 0% | 1¢ | 80¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Netherlands -2.5 first 5 innings | 0% | 1¢ | 80¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how the run differential between Israel and the Netherlands will fall over the first five innings of their game; it matters for traders who want exposure to early-game pitching and lineup matchups rather than the full-game result.
Israel and the Netherlands meet in international baseball competition where roster composition can vary by tournament — the Netherlands often fields many professional players, while Israel has shown strong tournament performances built around pitching and contact-hitting. Because international rosters and pitching assignments change, early-game matchups and announced starters have outsized influence on first-five-innings outcomes.
Market prices represent collective expectations about which side of the posted run spread will hold after five completed innings; sharp moves typically follow confirmed starting pitchers, lineup alerts, or late-breaking weather and injury news.
The outcome is determined solely by the run differential between the two teams after the completion of the first five innings; whichever side of the posted spread is satisfied by that score is the winning outcome.
Settlement follows the market's official rules on the platform: typically the official score after five completed innings is used; if five innings are not completed due to suspension or abandonment, consult the market page and platform rules for how that specific situation is handled.
Confirmed starting pitchers and their health/availability, last-minute lineup announcements or scratches, weather updates that affect the ballpark, and any manager signals about using an opener or quick bullpen hook will be the most impactful.
No — only runs scored during the official first five innings are counted for this spread market; later innings and extra-inning scoring do not change the first-five-innings settlement.
The market's close time is listed as TBD; the platform will publish the official close time on the market page and via any platform notices — monitor that page and team lineup/starting-pitcher announcements up to the posted close.