| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nebraska scores 10 points first | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Iowa scores 10 points first | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team, Iowa or Nebraska, will be the first to reach 10 points in their game. It matters because early scoring can indicate game momentum and affects in-play trading and strategy.
Iowa and Nebraska have a long history of competitive matchups in college sports; early possessions and initial play-calling often shape the flow of these games. Differences in starting lineups, special teams performance, and early turnovers have historically been decisive in which side gets on the scoreboard first.
Market prices reflect the collective view of traders about which team will hit 10 points first and will move as new information arrives (lineup announcements, weather, injuries, kickoff). Use prices as a snapshot of market sentiment, while remembering that real-time events during the game can rapidly change the outlook.
The close time for this specific market is listed on the KALSHI event page; if it still shows TBD, check back before kickoff. The platform’s published close time is authoritative for trading and settlement.
Settlement is based on the official game score: any scoring play that causes a team’s official score to become 10 or more (touchdown plus any PAT or two‑point conversion, field goal, safety) is when that team is considered to have reached 10 points.
Simultaneous scoring is rare; if both teams are recorded as reaching 10 on the same official play, settlement will follow KALSHI’s tie/simultaneity rules as stated in the event terms — consult the platform’s official settlement policy for the final determination.
Unless the event terms state otherwise, points scored during overtime are part of the official game scoring and therefore count. Verify the event’s specific rules on the KALSHI page if you need confirmation.
Settlement relies on authoritative game records and play-by-play data (official box score, league/game officials, or the data feed named in the event terms). The event page will list which source KALSHI uses as authoritative for settlement.