| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa wins by over 1.5 Points | 44% | 44¢ | 47¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Iowa wins by over 4.5 Points | 7% | 3¢ | 53¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Iowa wins by over 7.5 Points | 0% | 4¢ | 38¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ohio St. wins by over 11.5 Points | 0% | 4¢ | 96¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ohio St. wins by over 8.5 Points | 0% | 4¢ | 96¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Iowa wins by over 16.5 Points | 0% | 4¢ | 92¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ohio St. wins by over 14.5 Points | 0% | 4¢ | 92¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ohio St. wins by over 5.5 Points | 0% | 4¢ | 33¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Iowa wins by over 10.5 Points | 0% | 4¢ | 96¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ohio St. wins by over 2.5 Points | 0% | 42¢ | 44¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Iowa wins by over 13.5 Points | 0% | 4¢ | 96¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders buy and sell outcomes tied to the point spread for the college football game 'Iowa at Ohio St.: Spread.' It matters because spread markets aggregate market expectations about the expected margin of victory and react quickly to news that affects that expectation.
Iowa vs. Ohio State is a Big Ten matchup where styles and personnel typically drive the expected margin: Ohio State often features a high-powered offense, while Iowa is frequently noted for physical defense and clock-management. Historical matchups, home-field advantage, and midweek news (injuries, suspensions, or coaching changes) shape pregame expectations and thus market prices.
Prices in this spread market represent the market consensus about which side of the spread the game will fall on; they are an expression of collective trader beliefs and available information at the time, not guarantees of outcomes.
The event page currently lists the close time as TBD. Typically, KALSHI markets close at or shortly before kickoff; check the market page for the definitive close time and any last-minute updates.
Settlement will use the official final score as reported by the exchange's designated data source; each spread outcome is evaluated against the final margin. Consult the market's rules for handling ties, pushes, and any rounding conventions.
The $1,617 in volume indicates modest liquidity: prices reflect current trader beliefs but can be more sensitive to single large trades or news than higher-volume markets, so treat prices as informative but potentially more volatile.
Key movers include confirmation of the starting quarterbacks, injuries to key offensive or defensive linemen, official injury reports, unexpected coaching announcements, and significant weather advisories for the game site.
Outcome depends on KALSHI's event rules: some markets are voided and trades refunded if the game isn't played within a specified window, while others may be settled based on the official result if play resumes. Always review the market rules and exchange announcements for the specific treatment.