| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nebraska wins by over 5.5 Points | 52% | 50¢ | 52¢ | — | $85K | Trade → |
| Nebraska wins by over 7.5 Points | 42% | 42¢ | 44¢ | — | $25K | Trade → |
| Nebraska wins by over 4.5 Points | 55% | 54¢ | 55¢ | — | $18K | Trade → |
| Iowa wins by over 7.5 Points | 10% | 9¢ | 11¢ | — | $15K | Trade → |
| Nebraska wins by over 2.5 Points | 64% | 62¢ | 64¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Iowa wins by over 4.5 Points | 16% | 15¢ | 18¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Iowa wins by over 5.5 Points | 15% | 13¢ | 16¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Nebraska wins by over 17.5 Points | 10% | 12¢ | 15¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Nebraska wins by over 10.5 Points | 35% | 35¢ | 36¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Nebraska wins by over 11.5 Points | 31% | 28¢ | 31¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Nebraska wins by over 8.5 Points | 40% | 40¢ | 42¢ | — | $718 | Trade → |
| Iowa wins by over 1.5 Points | 26% | 26¢ | 30¢ | — | $639 | Trade → |
| Iowa wins by over 14.5 Points | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $561 | Trade → |
| Nebraska wins by over 1.5 Points | 64% | 64¢ | 65¢ | — | $367 | Trade → |
| Iowa wins by over 20.5 Points | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $250 | Trade → |
| Iowa wins by over 2.5 Points | 26% | 23¢ | 27¢ | — | $154 | Trade → |
| Nebraska wins by over 20.5 Points | 9% | 4¢ | 9¢ | — | $94 | Trade → |
| Iowa wins by over 17.5 Points | 3% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| Iowa wins by over 8.5 Points | 9% | 8¢ | 14¢ | — | $48 | Trade → |
| Iowa wins by over 10.5 Points | 6% | 6¢ | 7¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| Nebraska wins by over 14.5 Points | 0% | 20¢ | 23¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Iowa wins by over 11.5 Points | 0% | 4¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders buy and sell outcomes tied to the point-spread result of the college football game Iowa at Nebraska; it matters because spread markets aggregate real-time information about expected margin of victory and in-game factors.
Iowa and Nebraska are Big Ten programs with a long history of competitive games; matchups between them often feature strong defenses and emphasis on field position, which can compress or expand typical margins. Spread markets for this pairing capture public sentiment, injury news, travel, weather, and coaching matchups that shift expectations in the hours and days before kickoff.
Market prices on this spread market represent the collective expectations of traders about the likely final margin; prices move as new information (injuries, lineups, weather, betting flows) becomes available and should be read as a dynamic consensus rather than a fixed prediction.
The market's official close time is listed as TBD; typically spread markets close at or just before kickoff, but you should monitor the KALSHI market page for the definitive closure announcement and any last‑minute changes.
Settlement is based on the official final score as recognized by the event's governing body; the final margin (Nebraska minus Iowa or vice versa depending on how outcomes are defined) determines which of the market's outcome buckets is paid out.
Yes — the market settles on the official final score after any overtime periods, so any points scored in overtime are included in the margin used to determine the winning outcome.
The 22 outcomes correspond to discrete spread buckets or exact-margin outcomes that partition possible final margins (e.g., specific point differentials or small ranges); each outcome pays if the official final margin falls in its defined bucket — consult the market details on KALSHI for the exact mapping of outcomes to margins.
Settlement in those cases follows KALSHI's event rules: some markets are voided and funds returned if the game is not completed within the platform's specified window, while rescheduled games may be settled on the eventual official result — always check the KALSHI settlement policy on the market page for the precise procedure.