| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ international-born players drafted | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2+ international-born players drafted | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 3+ international-born players drafted | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 4+ international-born players drafted | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 5+ international-born players drafted | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many international-born players will be selected in the 1st round of the specified draft. It matters because the share of international-born first-round picks reflects scouting reach, pipeline strength, and teams' valuation of international talent.
Over recent decades many professional leagues have seen growing international representation in early draft rounds due to expanded scouting networks, international academies, and changes to player development pipelines. Year-to-year totals can swing with a few high-profile international prospects, rule changes around signing, or shifts in team drafting priorities.
Market prices aggregate trader beliefs about which outcome will occur and update as new information arrives; interpret prices as the market consensus rather than definitive prediction. Because drafts and roster news move quickly, expect odds to change leading up to and during the draft.
The market is structured with five mutually exclusive outcome buckets that cover possible counts of international-born players drafted in the 1st round; see the market page for the exact wording of each bucket.
Most markets rely on the official draft or league records’ birthplace field; confirm the market’s definition on the event page because some markets may use birthplace, nationality, or league-specific eligibility rules.
The close time is listed as TBD; typically these markets close shortly before or at the start of the first round and settle using the official draft results and the market’s definition of international-born players.
Key movers include updated prospect rankings, medical/injury reports, signability rumors, last-minute draft declarations, and official roster or eligibility clarifications that affect which international prospects are available in the first round.
Outcomes usually rely on the birthplace or the league’s official listing at the time of the draft; post-birth citizenship changes rarely alter settlement unless the market explicitly uses nationality rather than birthplace—check the event rules.