| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio wins 1st half | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Indiana wins 1st half | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on which team — Indiana or San Antonio — will be leading at the end of the first half of their matchup. It matters because first-half markets focus on short-run game dynamics and respond quickly to lineup and tempo information.
Indiana and San Antonio are NBA franchises with distinct styles: outcomes in a first-half contest are driven more by starting-five matchups, early rotation patterns, and tempo than by fourth-quarter execution. Historical results between the clubs can provide context, but each game’s opening lineups, resting decisions, and in-game developments are often the decisive factors for the first half.
Market prices reflect the community’s assessment of which team will lead at halftime and will move as new, relevant information arrives (starting lineups, injuries, travel/rest announcements, etc.). Treat the market as a real-time aggregation of expectations, not a guarantee of the result.
The outcome is determined by which team is leading on the game scoreboard at the official end of the second quarter. For tie situations or other edge cases, the market follows KALSHI’s official settlement rules — consult the market page or platform rules for the exact tie resolution policy.
The market’s close time is set on the market page (currently listed as TBD). Markets like this typically close at or shortly before the official tip-off, but you should check the market listing for the exact close timestamp and any platform-specific trading cutoffs.
Starting lineup announcements, last-minute injuries or scratches, official rest declarations, and travel or illness reports are the most market-moving pre-game items because they directly affect which players will be on the floor for the first half.
Late announcements typically shift market prices as other traders respond; your existing position will reflect the new market price only if you trade again. Platforms do not automatically alter open positions for new information — you can choose to hedge, close, or hold based on the updated information.
Overtime is irrelevant because the market settles on the score at the end of the second quarter. In the case of cancellation, postponement, or other extraordinary events, settlement follows KALSHI’s contingency and settlement policies — check the market page for their specific procedures.