| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland wins the 1H by over 5.5 points | 51% | 47¢ | 51¢ | — | $422 | Trade → |
| Indiana wins the 1H by over 10.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 26¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Indiana wins the 1H by over 7.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 26¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Portland wins the 1H by over 2.5 points | 0% | 56¢ | 64¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Indiana wins the 1H by over 1.5 points | 0% | 23¢ | 30¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Portland wins the 1H by over 8.5 points | 0% | 34¢ | 42¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Indiana wins the 1H by over 4.5 points | 0% | 13¢ | 23¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Portland wins the 1H by over 11.5 points | 0% | 23¢ | 32¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Indiana wins the 1H by over 16.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 13¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Indiana wins the 1H by over 19.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 13¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Indiana wins the 1H by over 13.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which first-half point-spread outcome will occur between Indiana and Portland; it matters because first-half spreads isolate early-game performance and are sensitive to starting lineups, pace, and matchup dynamics.
This is a first-half spread market for an Indiana vs Portland matchup on KALSHI, offering 11 distinct outcomes that map to different halftime-margin possibilities. First-half markets are distinct from full-game lines because they settle on the official halftime score, so pregame rotations, tipoff timing, and early-game strategies carry outsized weight.
Market prices reflect traders' consensus views about which halftime-margin outcome is most likely; interpret prices as the crowd’s relative confidence across the available spread buckets rather than fixed predictive certainties.
It settles on the official point differential at the end of the first half of the NBA game; the specific outcome that wins depends on how that halftime margin maps to the market's labeled outcomes.
Each outcome label on the market page corresponds to a defined halftime margin or margin range; check the market's outcome list on KALSHI for the exact mapping of labels to margins.
The market resolves based on the official halftime score when the game reaches its scheduled first-half completion; if the game is postponed or does not reach halftime the event will be settled according to KALSHI’s resolution rules posted on the platform.
Monitor who starts and who handles ball distribution, primary scorers and defenders for each team, last-minute injury reports or load management decisions, and any matchup edges in rim protection or three-point defense that can influence early scoring.
Because this market focuses on the first half, late changes have a large impact: update your view immediately when credible lineup or injury news appears, and verify official confirmations since the market can move quickly as traders incorporate that information.