| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento wins by over 4.5 Points | 45% | 44¢ | 45¢ | — | $20K | Trade → |
| Sacramento wins by over 1.5 Points | 57% | 56¢ | 57¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Indiana wins by over 5.5 Points | 25% | 25¢ | 27¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Sacramento wins by over 19.5 Points | 11% | 8¢ | 11¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Sacramento wins by over 7.5 Points | 34% | 35¢ | 37¢ | — | $175 | Trade → |
| Sacramento wins by over 16.5 Points | 15% | 12¢ | 14¢ | — | $159 | Trade → |
| Indiana wins by over 2.5 Points | 34% | 34¢ | 36¢ | — | $140 | Trade → |
| Indiana wins by over 11.5 Points | 13% | 11¢ | 14¢ | — | $118 | Trade → |
| Indiana wins by over 8.5 Points | 19% | 18¢ | 20¢ | — | $24 | Trade → |
| Sacramento wins by over 10.5 Points | 28% | 25¢ | 27¢ | — | $21 | Trade → |
| Sacramento wins by over 13.5 Points | 0% | 18¢ | 21¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on the point-spread outcome for the Indiana at Sacramento game; it matters because spread markets aggregate expectations about the margin of victory and respond quickly to news that affects either team.
Indiana (Pacers) and Sacramento (Kings) are NBA franchises with different styles of play; matchups between them often turn on pace, three-point shooting, and defensive matchups. Venue (Sacramento home court), recent travel schedules, and roster availability are recurring contextual factors that affect how the spread is set and traded.
Market prices on a spread market reflect the crowd’s implied expectations for which margin range will occur; watch price movement and contract liquidity as real-time signals rather than fixed forecasts.
Closing time is listed as TBD for now; platforms typically close spread markets at or just before game tip-off, but check KALSHI’s market page for the official close time and any last-minute updates.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific spread outcome or margin range defined in the market contract (for example various point-differential buckets); the winning contract is the one whose defined margin matches the final game score—see the contract description on the platform for exact ranges.
Injuries, ejections, foul trouble, or unexpected lineup/strategy shifts can change expected margins; such events typically drive immediate price adjustments in the market while the game is approaching or in-play if the platform supports it.
Head-to-head history can provide context, but its relevance depends on roster continuity and timing—give more weight to recent matchups with similar lineups and venue, and treat older games or seasons with different personnel as less informative.
Volume is a proxy for liquidity and the stability of prices: modest volume (such as $5,307) can mean wider bid/ask spreads and greater sensitivity to single trades or new information, so interpret price moves with an eye to potential volatility and limited depth.