| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday: 1+ | 73% | 0¢ | 76¢ | — | $13 | Trade → |
| Toumani Camara: 3+ | 21% | 0¢ | 19¢ | — | $9 | Trade → |
| Toumani Camara: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 38¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jrue Holiday: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 36¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jrue Holiday: 3+ | 0% | 0¢ | 15¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Toumani Camara: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 72¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which of several predefined steals outcomes will occur in the Indiana at Portland basketball game; it matters because steals are a proxy for defensive activity and can shift game momentum and scoring opportunities.
Indiana and Portland present contrasting profiles that influence turnover creation: personnel, defensive schemes, and pace determine how often steal opportunities arise. Historical head-to-heads, recent form, and roster availability (rotations, injuries, rest) provide useful context when assessing expected steal totals.
Market odds reflect the crowd’s consensus about which steals outcome is most likely; shorter odds indicate stronger market confidence in that outcome while longer odds indicate less confidence. Treat odds as evolving information—new lineup or injury news commonly moves the market.
Close time is set by the market creator and shown on the KALSHI market page; many game-specific markets close at official tip-off but some close at first possession or a posted cutoff—check the market details for the exact rule.
The outcome labels on the market page define whether the market tracks a single team’s steals or a combined game total—read the outcome descriptions on KALSHI to confirm which is being measured.
Late injuries change expected ball security and defensive pressure, which typically causes the market to reprice as participants update expectations about who will see more ball-handling minutes and who will create or concede steals.
Settlement typically uses the official box score or data source specified by KALSHI for the event; if official stat corrections occur the platform’s settlement rules determine how those corrections are handled—see the market terms for dispute and correction procedures.
Watch final starting lineups, minute projections, recent steal and turnover rates for both teams, coach comments about game plan, and any travel/rest notes; these items often change expected steal rates more than distant seasonal averages.