| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland wins by over 24.5 Points | 10% | 9¢ | 13¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Portland wins by over 9.5 Points | 48% | 47¢ | 48¢ | — | $459 | Trade → |
| Portland wins by over 6.5 Points | 59% | 57¢ | 59¢ | — | $81 | Trade → |
| Portland wins by over 12.5 Points | 35% | 35¢ | 43¢ | — | $7 | Trade → |
| Indiana wins by over 6.5 Points | 0% | 11¢ | 15¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Portland wins by over 18.5 Points | 0% | 14¢ | 25¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Portland wins by over 21.5 Points | 0% | 11¢ | 18¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Portland wins by over 3.5 Points | 0% | 63¢ | 70¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Indiana wins by over 3.5 Points | 0% | 12¢ | 21¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Portland wins by over 15.5 Points | 0% | 22¢ | 33¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which spread outcome will occur for the Indiana at Portland game — effectively which margin range the final score will fall into. It matters because spread markets aggregate public information about expected game margin and let traders express views on that margin.
Spread markets are common for head-to-head sports events and divide possible final-margin outcomes into discrete buckets; this specific market covers the Indiana Pacers playing the Portland Trail Blazers. Factors such as team matchups, recent form, injuries, travel and scheduling typically drive market activity and price movement in the days and hours before tipoff.
In this context, market prices represent the crowd’s assessment of which spread bucket is most likely to occur; price movement reflects new information (injuries, lineup changes, betting flow) and changing consensus among traders.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific spread bucket or margin range for the final score (for example, 'Indiana wins by 1–5', 'Portland wins by 6–10', etc.). Check the market’s outcome labels on the platform to see the precise ranges that determine settlement.
The market’s closing time is listed as TBD; typically spread markets close shortly before the scheduled game start to allow for final roster and injury updates. Settlement generally occurs after the official game ends and the league-confirmed final score is available.
Monitor official pregame reports, coach announcements, and reputable beat reporters — significant changes to expected starters or minutes can shift the expected margin. Because markets react quickly, earlier confirmed news often produces clearer price moves than last-minute unconfirmed reports.
Resolution depends on the platform’s rules and the league’s rescheduling policy; common outcomes are voiding and refunds if the game is not played within a specified timeframe, or settlement after a rescheduled game. Consult the market rules on KALSHI for the definitive policy for this event.
Look at recent head-to-head margins, how each team performs at home versus on the road, pace differences, and how past matchups exploited matchup mismatches (e.g., perimeter defense vs. three-point shooters). Use these trends alongside current-season context rather than relying on a single game’s result.