| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois wins the 1H by over 13.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Illinois wins the 1H by over 10.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Illinois wins the 1H by over 7.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Illinois wins the 1H by over 4.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Illinois wins the 1H by over 1.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Houston wins the 1H by over 2.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Houston wins the 1H by over 5.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Houston wins the 1H by over 8.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Houston wins the 1H by over 11.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Houston wins the 1H by over 14.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Houston wins the 1H by over 17.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on the first-half point spread between Illinois and Houston; it matters because first-half markets isolate early-game dynamics and react quickly to lineup and tempo information.
Illinois and Houston bring contrasting styles that often determine who controls the opening 20 minutes: one team may rely on size and halfcourt sets while the other emphasizes defense and transition. Interconference or nontraditional matchups like this can produce uneven first-half results as teams adjust to each other and referee crews.
Market prices (odds) reflect the collective expectation for which team will lead or trail at halftime; they can move rapidly as official starting lineups, injury news, or weather/venue information is released.
The final close time will be set and posted on the market page before the game; typically first-half spread markets close at or just before the scheduled opening tip for the first half, so monitor the event page for the exact timestamp.
Those discrete outcomes map to specific first-half spread results or range buckets used by the platform to settle the market; each outcome corresponds to a particular margin or interval for the halftime score rather than individual player events.
Settlement follows the platform’s official rules: the market is usually settled using the official halftime score; if the game does not reach an official halftime (for example, it is canceled or called before halftime), the market is commonly voided and positions are refunded—check KALSHI’s settlement policy for definitive guidance.
Monitor each team’s projected starting guards and defensive anchors, key interior rebounders, and coaches’ typical opening-lineup usage; first-half markets are sensitive to which scorers and primary ball-handlers are on court early and whether either team faces early foul trouble.
Because first-half outcomes cover a short timeframe, late scratches and lineup changes can materially shift expectations—traders should verify official lineup releases and injury reports, understand who replaces the missing player in the rotation, and be prepared for rapid market movement once that information is public.