| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest wins the 1H by over 16.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Illinois St. wins the 1H by over 5.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Illinois St. wins the 1H by over 2.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Illinois St. wins the 1H by over 8.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Wake Forest wins the 1H by over 4.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Illinois St. wins the 1H by over 11.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Wake Forest wins the 1H by over 1.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Wake Forest wins the 1H by over 10.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Wake Forest wins the 1H by over 7.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Wake Forest wins the 1H by over 19.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Wake Forest wins the 1H by over 13.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how the first-half point spread will land between Illinois St. and Wake Forest; it matters to traders who want to express views on early-game performance independent of full-game outcomes.
Wake Forest is an ACC program and Illinois State represents a smaller-conference program, so roster depth and talent disparities often frame pre-game expectations. First-half spreads isolate early-game dynamics—matchup advantages, starting lineups, and initial game plan—any of which can produce results that differ from full-game predictions.
Prediction market prices represent the collective view of which first-half spread outcome is most likely based on available information and trading activity; prices move as participants update beliefs when new information (injuries, lineups, weather, etc.) appears.
The market close time is listed as TBD; in practice, markets like this typically close shortly before kickoff. Outcomes are finalized using the game's official halftime score as published by the event’s official scorer and per the exchange’s settlement rules.
Resolution follows the platform’s stated settlement rules: outcomes are determined from the official halftime score, and ties or pushes are handled according to the exchange’s published procedures for spread markets.
There are 11 distinct spread outcomes you can trade, each representing a specific point-differential bucket or spread interval for the first half as defined on the platform. Each outcome settles based on which interval contains the official halftime margin.
Monitor the projected starting quarterback or primary ball-handler, the lead scorer or running back, and the top defensive playmakers—those players most likely to create or prevent early scoring. Pre-game depth charts and injury reports are the best source for who will actually play early minutes.
Settlement and trading status depend on the exchange’s rules: postponements or cancellations can lead to voided or delayed settlement, and significant late-breaking lineup or injury news will typically cause prices to move or markets to halt until clarity is provided. Check KALSHI’s event terms for exact procedures.