| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois St. wins by over 4.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dayton wins by over 23.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Illinois St. wins by over 10.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dayton wins by over 17.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dayton wins by over 20.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dayton wins by over 14.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dayton wins by over 2.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dayton wins by over 11.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Illinois St. wins by over 7.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Illinois St. wins by over 1.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dayton wins by over 8.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dayton wins by over 5.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders express expectations for the point spread between Illinois State and Dayton in their upcoming matchup. It matters because the spread aggregates public and informed views about the likely margin of victory, which can reflect injuries, matchup advantages, and recent form.
Illinois State (Redbirds) and Dayton (Flyers) are NCAA Division I basketball programs with different conference contexts and stylistic tendencies; Dayton has recent history as a strong mid‑major program while Illinois State competes in the Missouri Valley Conference. Past meetings, venue (home or neutral), and roster turnover across seasons shape expectations, and those factors are what traders use to form views here.
Market prices represent the collective view of which spread outcomes traders expect to occur; price movements often reflect new information (injury reports, lineup announcements, travel issues). Use prices as a realtime signal, but combine them with independent information about the specific Illinois St. vs Dayton matchup.
The market will close at the time specified on the market page, typically at the official scheduled tip‑off for the Illinois State vs Dayton game; because the close is listed as TBD here, check the KALSHI event page for the exact updated close time before trading.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific point‑margin range for the Illinois State vs Dayton game; settlement is determined by the official final point differential from the game’s box score (including overtime if specified by the platform), so confirm the settlement rules on the KALSHI event page.
Injury and official inactive announcements materially change expected margins; traders typically update positions or wait until lineup confirmations before trading—monitor team reports, press conferences, and the market’s price moves to see how information is being incorporated.
Settlement for postponements or cancellations follows the platform’s event rules; markets are often voided if the game is not played within a specified window or settled on the eventual official result if play is rescheduled—check KALSHI’s stated policies on rescheduling and voids for this specific event.
Head‑to‑head history can provide context but is less informative than recent team composition and current season metrics because rosters and coaches change; prioritize recent performance, matchup stats, and current rosters while using historical results as a secondary data point.