| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana St. | 0% | 40¢ | 54¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Idaho | 0% | 42¢ | 56¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 11¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team will be leading at halftime in the Idaho vs Montana St. game (including the possibility of a tie at halftime). First-half markets matter because they isolate the opening dynamics of the game and let traders express views about starts, game plans, and in-game matchups rather than full-game outcomes.
Idaho and Montana State are collegiate programs with distinct styles; matchups between them often feature contrasts in tempo, quarterback play, and defensive approaches. Historical rivalry context, recent form, and roster changes heading into the matchup all shape expectations for how the first half might unfold.
Market prices reflect the collective, real-time judgment of participants about which first-half outcome is most likely, and they update as new information arrives (injuries, starting lineups, weather, etc.). Treat them as a dynamic consensus signal—not a guarantee—and factor in your own research on situational details.
This market typically offers three mutually exclusive outcomes: Idaho leads at halftime, Montana State leads at halftime, or the score is tied at halftime. The outcome is determined by the official halftime score.
Close time is listed as TBD for this market. In practice, first-half markets close before the first half officially begins or at a platform-specified cutoff; check the KALSHI platform for the confirmed close time prior to the game.
A late scratch to a starting QB is high-impact for first-half markets because it directly changes expected scoring and game tempo; markets typically react quickly when such news is announced, so monitor official injury reports and lineup confirmations around kickoff.
If the official halftime score is a tie, the market resolves to the 'tie at halftime' outcome. Subsequent overtime or second-half scoring does not affect the halftime resolution.
Look at recent games for patterns such as which team tends to start fast or slow, turnover frequency in the opening quarters, and head-to-head first-half scoring trends. Use those patterns alongside current-season form, injuries, and matchup specifics rather than relying on any single past game.