| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento St. | 58% | 40¢ | 51¢ | — | $84 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 11¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Idaho St. | 0% | 42¢ | 51¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team will be leading at the end of the first half of the Idaho St. vs Sacramento St. game. It matters to traders and fans who want to express short-term expectations about game dynamics rather than final outcomes.
Idaho State and Sacramento State are conference opponents in the Big Sky and frequently meet with implications for conference standings and postseason positioning. Matchups between these programs often hinge on tempo, defensive matchups, and early-game execution rather than late-game adjustments.
Market prices reflect the consensus view of traders about who will be ahead at halftime and will move as new information (lineups, injuries, tip-off) arrives. Treat prices as a snapshot of market expectations that update in real time rather than fixed forecasts.
The close time is listed as TBD; the winning outcome is determined by the score at the official end of the first half of the scheduled game. If the game is postponed, canceled, or altered, settlement follows KALSHI’s event rules.
The three outcomes correspond to: Idaho State leading at the end of the first half, Sacramento State leading at the end of the first half, or the score being tied at the end of the first half.
They can have an outsized effect because the market is about only the first half: a starter missing the tip or being limited changes expected scoring and matchups immediately, and markets typically react quickly to official injury and lineup news.
Yes. Home-court factors such as crowd, travel strain, and familiarity with the venue often influence early-game energy and can affect which team leads at halftime, especially in conference matchups like this one.
A tied score at the official end of the first half is the Tie outcome and wins this market. Any overtime later in the game does not affect settlement for a first-half market; extraordinary schedule changes are resolved per KALSHI’s published settlement policies.