| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho St. | 58% | 27¢ | 37¢ | — | $16 | Trade → |
| Portland St. | 71% | 55¢ | 65¢ | — | $4 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 11¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team — Idaho State or Portland State — will be leading at the end of the first half of their matchup, with a third outcome for a halftime tie. First-half markets matter because they isolate early-game performance and reward information about starting lineups, game plans, and early execution.
Idaho State (Bengals) and Portland State (Vikings) meet as conference opponents with histories of competitive games; first-half dynamics in these matchups can be influenced by matchup-specific coaching strategies and which starters are available. The first half outcome can diverge from the full-game result when one team emphasizes a fast start, or when in-game adjustments reverse early leads.
Market prices and odds express the market consensus about which team will be leading at halftime and will update as new information (lineup announcements, injuries, weather, pregame reports) arrives. Interpret movements as updated collective expectations, not guarantees — they reflect information and sentiment available to traders in real time.
The market settles using the official game score at the conclusion of the first half as recorded by the game officials (the halftime whistle/horn). Check the event page for the precise settlement timestamp once it is posted.
There are three outcomes: Idaho State leading at halftime, Portland State leading at halftime, or the score being tied at halftime. If the official halftime score is tied, the tie outcome wins settlement.
Late roster changes and injury reports are major drivers of price movement because they change expectations about first-half performance; markets typically react quickly once such information is public, so watch official team updates and pregame reports.
If the first half is not completed or the game is not played, the market will be resolved according to the platform’s cancellation/void rules. Consult KALSHI’s official event rules or the event page for the platform’s specific resolution policy.
Trading for a first-half market usually stops at or before kickoff/start of the first half so that settled positions reflect information available before play begins; because this event’s close time is listed as TBD, check the event page for the announced trading cutoff.