| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland St. wins the 1H by over 4.5 points | 0% | 37¢ | 52¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Portland St. wins the 1H by over 13.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Idaho St. wins the 1H by over 5.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Idaho St. wins the 1H by over 11.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 31¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Portland St. wins the 1H by over 16.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Idaho St. wins the 1H by over 8.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Portland St. wins the 1H by over 7.5 points | 0% | 20¢ | 43¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Idaho St. wins the 1H by over 2.5 points | 0% | 11¢ | 31¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Portland St. wins the 1H by over 1.5 points | 0% | 52¢ | 74¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Portland St. wins the 1H by over 19.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 21¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Portland St. wins the 1H by over 10.5 points | 0% | 11¢ | 31¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which first-half point-spread outcome will occur in the Idaho St. vs Portland St. game, providing a market-based view of expected halftime advantage. It matters to traders and observers who want a concise signal about early-game dynamics and public sentiment.
Idaho State and Portland State are NCAA Division I programs that often meet within the same conference, and first-half margins reflect things like starting-lineup matchups, pace, and defensive intensity. Historical head-to-heads and recent season trends can provide context, but rosters, injuries, and short-term form drive first-half results and can change quickly.
Market prices here reflect the collective view on which halftime point-differential range is most likely; price moves incorporate new information and money flow. Treat those prices as one input alongside scouting reports, lineup news, and statistical first-half indicators.
The market settles based on the official halftime score reported by the game’s governing scorer or league box score; the official halftime point differential determines which outcome wins. If halftime is not reached or the game is postponed, settlement follows KALSHI's contingency rules—check the platform's official resolution policy.
Each of the 11 listed outcomes maps to a particular first-half point-differential range; the outcome whose range contains the official halftime margin is the winner. If the margin falls on a defined boundary, the platform's outcome definitions and tie/push rules determine resolution.
Monitor confirmed starters, injury reports, last-minute scratches, announced rotations, and any coach comments about game plan; also watch pregame warmups and news sources that report lineup confirmations, as these directly affect first-half expectations.
Recent head-to-head games offer useful context—especially recurring matchup advantages—but small sample size and roster turnover mean you should weight recent season head-to-heads alongside current-season performance, injuries, and lineup stability.
Late-breaking starting lineup changes, injuries or ejections, an uncharacteristic scoring burst or blowout run, and official reports of bench rotations typically cause rapid price movement. Market participants respond quickly to such concrete developments that materially change expected halftime margins.