| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho wins by over 1.5 Points | 54% | 54¢ | 56¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Idaho wins by over 7.5 Points | 33% | 31¢ | 33¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Idaho wins by over 4.5 Points | 44% | 43¢ | 44¢ | — | $698 | Trade → |
| Montana wins by over 2.5 Points | 37% | 34¢ | 37¢ | — | $184 | Trade → |
| Idaho wins by over 10.5 Points | 25% | 21¢ | 25¢ | — | $61 | Trade → |
| Montana wins by over 5.5 Points | 23% | 23¢ | 27¢ | — | $29 | Trade → |
| Idaho wins by over 16.5 Points | 0% | 7¢ | 12¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Idaho wins by over 13.5 Points | 0% | 13¢ | 17¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Montana wins by over 14.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Montana wins by over 11.5 Points | 0% | 8¢ | 14¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Montana wins by over 8.5 Points | 0% | 15¢ | 19¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market trades the point-spread outcome for the college football game Idaho at Montana, allowing traders to express expectations about the margin of victory. Spread markets matter because they aggregate real-time information about team form, injuries, and situational factors into tradable prices.
Idaho and Montana have a history of competitive matchups and shared conference ties that inform expectations for this game; recent head-to-head results, roster changes, and season trajectories provide useful context. Montana typically benefits from home-field familiarity in Missoula, while Idaho’s matchup-specific strengths and weaknesses (offense versus defense matchups) shape pregame analysis.
Market prices correspond to the collective expectations for which spread bucket will occur and update as new information arrives; higher-priced outcomes reflect stronger market conviction. Treat those prices as the market’s current consensus signal, not a guarantee, and consider them alongside independent analysis.
The market lists a close time as TBD; typically closure is tied to the official game start or a time specified by KALSHI. Check the market page or platform notifications for the final close time ahead of kickoff.
The 11 outcomes correspond to discrete spread ranges (buckets) covering different margin-of-victory scenarios for the game; the market page will show the labels for each bucket so you can see the exact margins they represent.
Resolution follows KALSHI’s official rules: if the game is played and produces an official final score, the market typically resolves to that result; if the game is not played within the platform’s specified window, markets are often voided per platform policy. Confirm the platform’s cancellation and force-majeure rules for details.
Announcements that change expected on-field personnel — especially starting quarterback status, late injury reports to key offensive or defensive starters, or suspension/availability news — are the most common catalysts for meaningful market moves.
Volume is a proxy for liquidity and how much money has changed hands; $6,399 indicates a modestly active market, meaning prices can be more volatile and sensitive to individual trades or late news. Use volume as one input and combine it with news and matchup analysis before making decisions.