| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belinda Bencic | 85% | 85¢ | 88¢ | — | $179 | Trade → |
| Storm Hunter | 15% | 13¢ | 15¢ | — | $8 | Trade → |
This market asks which player will win the single match between Hunter and Bencic; it matters because the result determines settlement and reflects expectations about the matchup.
This is a two-outcome sports market tied to one head-to-head tennis match that will settle on the official winner posted by the event organizer. Relevant background includes each player's recent form, prior meetings, and the tournament context (round and surface), all of which shape how traders assess the matchup.
Market prices are a real-time aggregation of participants' views and new information — movement signals changing expectations but not guarantees of the final result.
The market close time is listed as TBD; typically the market closes at or before the official match start and resolves once the event organizer posts the official match result, subject to the platform's resolution rules.
This two-outcome market offers a choice between Hunter winning or Bencic winning; the market resolves to the official match winner as recorded by the tournament.
Settlement follows the platform's resolution policy: if the match is completed later the market typically resolves on the eventual official result, while extended postponements or cancellations may trigger voiding or refunding of positions per the platform (see Kalshi's rules for specifics).
Head-to-head can be informative but its value depends on recency, sample size, and whether prior matches were on the same surface; use it alongside current form, fitness, and situational factors rather than as the sole determinant.
Settlement follows the official match status: an official withdrawal or walkover is typically recorded as the opponent advancing and the market resolves accordingly, but check the platform's resolution policy for edge cases and timing rules.