| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 600,000 or more | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 700,000 or more | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 800,000 or more | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,000,000 or more | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,100,000 or more | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,200,000 or more | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many Twitch subscribers KaiCenat will have by the end of the specified period ("this year"). It matters because subscriber counts reflect creator reach, monetization, and community engagement, which can move quickly in creator-driven markets.
KaiCenat is a high-profile streamer and influencer whose subscriber totals have changed substantially in short windows due to viral streams, collaborations, and gifting trends on Twitch. Twitch subscriptions and counts are influenced by platform mechanics (e.g., gifted subs, promotions, and Prime subscriptions) as well as creator behavior like streaming frequency and content type. Historical jumps or declines for big creators show that single events—major streams, controversies, or multi-stream partnerships—can materially move subscriber totals.
Market odds represent the aggregated expectations of traders about which subscriber-range outcome will occur; they shift as new information arrives. They are not guarantees; consult the market page and the contract's resolution rules for the exact outcome definitions and verification sources.
Resolution will follow the contract terms posted on the market page; typically that means using an identified, publicly verifiable source (for example Twitch or an official statement) at the contract's resolution timestamp. Check the market page for the precise resolution source and time.
"This year" refers to the time period defined in the contract on the market page—often the calendar year in which the market is listed—but you should confirm the exact start and end timestamps on the market page.
Each outcome corresponds to a specified range of subscriber counts; the exact numeric ranges for the six outcomes are shown on the market page and determine which outcome wins at resolution.
Traders commonly monitor KaiCenat's Twitch channel page, Twitch’s official analytics (when available), KaiCenat’s social posts, and third-party tracking sites that record subscription or follower milestones; any source used for official resolution will be listed in the contract.
Major charity or promotional streams, large-scale collabs or crossovers, platform promotions (e.g., free Prime trials), reported account issues or bans, and widely shared viral clips are events that tend to cause notable changes in subscriber counts.