| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ golf major championship wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2+ golf major championship wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 3+ golf major championship wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 4+ golf major championship wins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
This prediction market asks how many major championships Scottie Scheffler will win during the 2026 calendar year; it matters because major wins are the highest-value measure of a golfer's single-season dominance and drive public and market expectations.
Scottie Scheffler is a top professional golfer with prior major championship experience and sustained high-level performance in recent seasons. The four men's majors (The Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, The Open) comprise the events being counted for the 2026 season, and outcomes depend on his results across those tournaments.
Market prices reflect the collective view of traders about which outcome is most likely and will move as new information (form, injuries, conditions) becomes available; they are a snapshot of expectations, not guarantees of final results.
It counts official victories recorded by the four men's major tournaments held during the 2026 calendar year; each official tournament winner is counted, and a playoff winner is treated as the event champion for settlement purposes.
The market uses four mutually exclusive outcome buckets that partition the number of majors Scheffler wins in 2026 (for example: zero wins, one win, two wins, three or more wins); each tradeable outcome corresponds to one of those buckets and only the bucket matching his final 2026 major total pays out.
The market’s close time is set by the platform and listed on the event page (currently TBD); settlement will occur after the final official result is available for the last 2026 major and the platform verifies winners per the tournaments’ certified results.
Settlement follows the market operator’s published rules: if a major is canceled, postponed out of the 2026 calendar year, or not completed, the platform will apply its contingency rules which may include voiding or adjusting the market—consult the market’s official rules for exact treatment.
Monitor Scheffler’s injury reports and withdrawals, form in PGA Tour and other lead-up events, pairings and tee times for each major, course-specific performance indicators, competitor form updates, and weather forecasts or setup announcements at each major venue.