| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 200,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 250,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 300,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 350,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 400,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 450,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 500,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many followers the account 'clavicular' will have by the resolution date for this year. It matters because follower counts are a simple, measurable signal of an account's reach and influence and can move in response to real-world events.
The market is built around a single account's audience growth over the course of a year; outcomes typically represent discrete follower-count ranges. Historical growth patterns for individual creators are driven by content cadence, platform algorithm changes, promotional activity, and occasional viral spikes. Because the market aggregates trader views, it reflects expectations about those drivers rather than an official audit of the account.
Market prices reflect how traders value each follower-count outcome given available information and will change as new information arrives; they should be read as the market consensus at a point in time rather than a deterministic forecast.
The market's timeframe is defined in the market description; check the market page for the exact start and resolution window since the close date is listed as TBD.
Each outcome corresponds to a non‑overlapping follower‑count range; the precise numeric boundaries and labels are displayed on the market page under the list of outcomes.
Resolution follows the method specified by the market operator—typically a publicly verifiable snapshot at the resolution time or a named source/API; consult the market rules for the official tie‑break and verification procedure.
Account‑level developments (a viral post, major collaboration, or a suspension), platform announcements affecting visibility, or credible reports of paid promotion or media appearances will typically trigger fast market re-pricing.
The market will cite its resolution source—usually the social platform's publicly visible follower number, a timestamped API response, or an archived snapshot; use that same source or the market's posted evidence to cross‑check the resolved outcome.