| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston wins the 1H by over 6.5 points | 61% | 53¢ | 61¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Houston wins the 1H by over 3.5 points | 70% | 64¢ | 70¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Washington wins the 1H by over 9.5 points | 45% | 0¢ | 24¢ | — | $44 | Trade → |
| Washington wins the 1H by over 3.5 points | 69% | 0¢ | 47¢ | — | $11 | Trade → |
| Washington wins the 1H by over 12.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 13¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Washington wins the 1H by over 15.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 13¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Washington wins the 1H by over 6.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 36¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Washington wins the 1H by over 18.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 13¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Washington wins the 1H by over 21.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 13¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Washington wins the 1H by over 24.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 13¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks how the first half point spread will resolve between Houston and Washington; it matters to traders and bettors who want to express views or hedge exposure on the game’s early scoring dynamics. The market offers multiple discrete outcomes and aggregates real-time information from traders on KALSHI.
The market covers the first half of a single Houston vs Washington game and currently lists 10 discrete outcomes with $5,766 in total volume traded; the official close time is listed as TBD on the platform. First-half markets focus on the opening 30–45 minutes of play (sport-dependent) and are sensitive to starting lineups, tempo, and early coaching strategies rather than full-game adjustments.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations of participants about which spread interval will occur in the first half and update as new information arrives; interpret prices as the market’s current consensus view rather than fixed predictions.
The market close time is listed as TBD on KALSHI; the platform will display an exact close time as the game approaches and may close shortly before the first half begins.
Each outcome represents a discrete range or specific result for the first-half point spread as defined by the market contract; check the market page on KALSHI for the exact mapping of outcomes to spread intervals.
Late injury or lineup changes that affect starters or primary rotation players typically produce rapid price movement in first-half markets because those factors directly change scoring expectations and the market will reprice to reflect the new information.
Traded volume indicates the amount of money matched and gives a sense of liquidity and interest; higher volume generally means prices may be more robust and update faster as new information arrives, while low volume can mean wider gaps and more price volatility.
Relevant historical factors include recent head-to-head first-half margins, each team’s first-half scoring and defensive splits, pace of play early in games, and how coaches have historically opened games; prioritize the most recent seasons and home/away splits for actionable context.