| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks whether a run is scored in the first inning of the MLB game between the Houston Astros and the Colorado Rockies. It serves as a binary indicator for the volatility and offensive momentum expected at the very start of the matchup.
The first inning is often a high-leverage period where starting pitchers face the top of the batting order before settling into a rhythm. Factors like ballpark dimensions, specific pitcher-batter matchups, and the defensive efficiency of both clubs are critical variables. Because this market resolves immediately following the conclusion of the top and bottom of the first, it offers a quick turnaround for participants analyzing early-game dynamics.
The market prices reflect the collective anticipation of how effectively the starting pitchers can suppress the opposition's lead-off hitters. Higher pricing suggests an expectation of aggressive offensive play, while lower pricing suggests defensive dominance.
A run is officially scored when a player safely traverses all three bases and touches home plate, as recorded in the official MLB box score for the first inning.
Yes, any run scored by either the visiting team in the top half or the home team in the bottom half of the first inning satisfies the criteria for this market.
If the game is suspended or canceled before the first inning is completed, the market will be settled based on the official ruling provided by the exchange's policy for incomplete games.
The market is typically tied to the game itself; if a team changes its starting pitcher prior to the first pitch, the market remains active, and the new matchup dynamics are factored into the current market price.
No, a run scored via any official means—including walks, hit-by-pitches, fielding errors, or sacrifice flies—counts toward the resolution of this market.