| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama | 3% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Alperen Sengun | 6% | 4¢ | 6¢ | — | $928 | Trade → |
This market asks whether any player will record a triple-double in the Houston at San Antonio basketball game. It matters because triple-doubles are uncommon single-game feats that hinge on minutes, role, and matchup dynamics and therefore concentrate a lot of game-relevant information into one outcome.
A triple-double occurs when a player records double digits in three statistical categories (points, rebounds, assists, steals, or blocks) in a single game; frequency varies by team style, roster construction, and individual skill sets. Matchup history between Houston and San Antonio can influence likelihoods—teams that play at a higher pace or rely on a few heavy-minute playmakers tend to produce more triple-double opportunities. Late-season rest patterns, back-to-backs, and coach rotation choices also shift the practical chance of a triple-double on game day.
Market prices aggregate traders’ real-time views about the likelihood of a triple-double and move as new information arrives (injuries, starters, minutes projections). Use prices as a consensus signal that updates with facts, not as a fixed prediction.
Settlement generally follows the official box score: a triple-double is recorded when a player reaches at least 10 in three statistical categories (points, rebounds, assists, steals, or blocks) in the game as shown in the final official statistics.
The market close time is listed as TBD; typically such markets close at or shortly before scheduled tip-off or when the market operator sets a cutoff. Settlement happens after the game's official box score is final and any league reviews are completed.
Players who handle a lot of touches, lead in assists or rebounds, and play heavy minutes—often primary guards, point-forwards, or versatile bigs—are the likeliest candidates. Check starters, minutes projections, and usage rates in pregame reports.
Late roster changes can materially alter the market because removing a high-minute, multi-category contributor reduces the chance of a triple-double, while inserting additional minutes for a multi-category contributor increases it. Traders typically update prices quickly after such news.
Most binary triple-double markets resolve to 'Yes' if at least one player records a qualifying triple-double. Multiple triple-doubles do not change a 'Yes' settlement beyond the fact that the event occurred; always check the specific market rules for edge cases.