| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio | 68% | 67¢ | 68¢ | — | $456K | Trade → |
| Houston | 34% | 32¢ | 34¢ | — | $193K | Trade → |
This market asks which team will win the Houston at San Antonio matchup; it matters because it aggregates trader expectations about the game outcome and updates as new information arrives.
Houston and San Antonio have a long-standing competitive history in their sport, and individual game outcomes are shaped by roster construction, scheduling, and short-term form. Factors such as recent injuries, roster changes, and travel between the cities often shift expectations from one meeting to the next.
Market odds are a real-time summary of traders' collective judgment about which team is more likely to win; they update as news (lineups, injuries, rest status) and betting activity arrive and should be treated as informational rather than definitive.
The event page currently lists the close time as TBD; KALSHI typically closes markets at a specified time before or at game start, so monitor the platform for the official closing timestamp for this specific market.
Each outcome corresponds to the winner of the game: one outcome for a Houston win and one for a San Antonio win. The market settles based on the official, final result recognized by the sport’s governing body and KALSHI’s settlement rules.
Late injury news is typically absorbed quickly by traders and can move the market; substantial absences to key starters tend to shift expectations more than minor lineup tweaks, so check injury reports and official confirmations for real-time impact.
Head-to-head history gives context—especially for matchup tendencies—but current rosters, recent form, and situational factors (injuries, rest) are usually more predictive for a single game.
Settlement follows KALSHI’s contract terms: if the game is not completed or an official result is delayed, the platform will resolve the market according to its rules (which may include waiting for official completion, voiding, or refunding); check KALSHI’s event-specific settlement policy for details.