| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kevin Durant: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kevin Durant: 3+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kevin Durant: 4+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kevin Durant: 5+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Reed Sheppard: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Reed Sheppard: 3+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Reed Sheppard: 4+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Reed Sheppard: 5+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Reed Sheppard: 6+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tari Eason: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tari Eason: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tari Eason: 3+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tari Eason: 4+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tari Eason: 5+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market concerns the distribution of three-pointers in the Houston at New Orleans game and matters because three-point volume is a primary driver of specific game markets and in-game betting dynamics.
Both franchises have roster roles that emphasize perimeter shooting and play at varying paces, so this matchup often hinges on how many attempts and makes come from beyond the arc. Venue, coaching game plans, and recent lineup changes shape whether the game tilts toward high or low three-point totals.
Market prices reflect the crowd’s collective view of how likely each listed three-pointer outcome is and will move as new information arrives, such as lineup, injury, or weather-independent game factors.
The event page shows the market close time; currently the close is listed as TBD, so check the KALSHI interface for the final cut-off before placing trades.
Each outcome maps to a distinct resolution for three-pointers (for example a specific number or a range); consult the market description on KALSHI to see the exact mapping and which outcome will resolve if the final game statistics fall into that bin.
Primary perimeter starters and high-usage guards/wings on both rosters drive three-point volume, as do designated floor-spacing role players and bench shooters who get meaningful minutes; any late absence by these players materially shifts expectations.
Monitor official injury reports and confirmed starting lineups; late scratches or rest decisions can quickly change expected three-point attempts and should prompt re-evaluation of positions or hedging before the market closes.
Yes—look at recent head-to-head games, each team’s recent three-point attempt rate and shooting consistency, and contextual factors like travel or back-to-back scheduling; use trends as one input while accounting for small sample variability and roster changes.