| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alperen Sengun | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether a triple-double will occur during the Houston at Memphis game. It matters because triple-doubles are rare, high-impact statistical achievements that reflect unusual all-around performances and can swing in-play expectations.
Triple-doubles occur when a player records double digits in three statistical categories in a single game; they are uncommon and depend on player roles and game context. Houston and Memphis are distinct stylistically — pace, playmaking focus, and rebounding matchups between the teams influence how likely a player on either side is to accumulate the diverse stats required for a triple-double.
Market prices aggregate trader expectations about whether a triple-double will occur and update as news (injuries, rotations, starters) arrives. Use prices as a real-time signal of market sentiment rather than a static forecast.
Resolution uses the official box score/stats source specified in the market contract (typically the league's official game box score). A triple-double is recorded when a player posts at least 10 in three statistical categories (points, rebounds, assists, steals, or blocks) in the official final stat line.
Close time is set by the market contract; commonly these markets close at the official game tip-off, but because this contract lists the close as TBD you should check the market page or contract details for the exact close timestamp.
Focus on the game’s primary ball-handlers and high-minute forwards/centers who are involved in both playmaking and rebounding — starters who log heavy minutes and lead their team in usage are the most realistic candidates. Also monitor any bench players penciled in for extended minutes due to injuries or rest.
Late lineup changes can materially change the market because they alter minutes and usage for potential candidates; a key starter out or rested reduces the chance a single player reaches triple-double thresholds, while their absence can create opportunities for another player to see increased minutes and counting stats.
Yes — any combination of three statistical categories counts, so steals or blocks can be part of a triple-double if the player reaches the requisite totals in three categories, as shown in the official box score used for resolution.