| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kevin Durant: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kevin Durant: 3+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kevin Durant: 4+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kevin Durant: 5+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Reed Sheppard: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Reed Sheppard: 3+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Reed Sheppard: 4+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Reed Sheppard: 5+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Reed Sheppard: 6+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tari Eason: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tari Eason: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tari Eason: 3+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tari Eason: 4+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tari Eason: 5+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which of several predefined three-point outcomes will occur in the Houston at Memphis game, giving traders a way to express expectations about long-range shooting in this specific matchup. It matters because three-point volume and accuracy can swing game dynamics and affect related markets (totals, player props).
Houston and Memphis matchups have historically shown different three-point profiles depending on roster construction and coaching emphasis: one side may prioritize spacing and perimeter attempts while the other emphasizes defense or interior play. Recent roster changes, rotation patterns, and coaching strategies can shift the expected number of made threes from one game to the next.
Market prices reflect collective expectations about which outcome will occur and update as new information arrives; higher-priced outcomes represent scenarios that traders consider less likely. Use price movement to track how news (injuries, starting lineups, pace projections) changes the market view, rather than focusing on static values.
The ten outcomes partition the possible counts of made three-pointers for the market’s scope (as specified on the market page). Each outcome corresponds to a specific range or discrete count defined in the market description; check that description to see whether the market is for combined team threes, one team, or another variant.
The market close time is listed as TBD on the page; typically these markets close at a stated time before or at game start. Watch the market page for the final announced close and any last-minute updates.
Monitor the starting guards and wings on both teams who are high-volume perimeter shooters, plus any ‘stretch’ forwards or centers who take regular threes. Also watch announced starters, late scratches, and rotation changes that shift three-point volume to different players.
In-game events that change expected minutes or shot attempts—injuries, ejections, foul trouble, or a lopsided score—will materially alter expectations for made threes. Traders typically react quickly to those events, and prices will move to reflect the new projected three-point volume.
Settlement uses the official league box score for the game as specified in the market rules. The market description will state whether made three-pointers from overtime count; resolution follows that rule and uses the league’s official statbook to determine which outcome occurred.