| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alperen Sengun | 7% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $831 | Trade → |
| Nikola Jokić | 58% | 45¢ | 76¢ | — | $176 | Trade → |
This market asks whether a triple-double will be recorded in the Houston at Denver game. It matters because triple-doubles are rare, high-impact individual performances that can shift betting and fantasy outcomes for a single matchup.
Triple-doubles require a player to reach double digits in three statistical categories (points, rebounds, assists) in one official game. Team pace, star playmakers, and matchup dynamics between Houston and Denver historically influence the likelihood of such performances, and individual availability or role changes can shift expectations sharply.
Market prices reflect the collective view of traders about the chance of a triple-double occurring in this specific game and update as news (injuries, rotations, rest decisions) arrives. Treat prices as a summary of available public information and sentiment rather than a fixed prediction.
This market lists two outcomes; typically that corresponds to whether at least one player records a triple-double in the official box score of the Houston at Denver game (Yes/No). Check the market contract text on KALSHI for the exact phrasing used for settlement.
Look at the primary playmakers and high-usage bigs on both rosters who log heavy minutes and gather rebounds and assists — historically Denver’s leading playmaker is a top candidate. Pre-game rotations and who is projected to start or play late minutes will narrow the list.
Settlement generally uses the official league box score and statistics for the game. A triple-double is recorded when a player reaches at least 10 in three of the standard categories (points, rebounds, assists) in the official game statistics, per the league’s official record.
Announcements that alter who will play or how many minutes key players will see can materially change market prices because they directly affect the pool of players likely to reach a triple-double. Traders typically react quickly to injury reports and official rest confirmations.
If the market is structured around whether any triple-double occurs, multiple triple-doubles still resolve to the same 'Yes' outcome. For markets tied to specific players, each player’s result is settled individually according to the contract terms shown on the trading platform.