| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wright St. | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $687K | Trade → |
| Detroit Mercy | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $520K | Trade → |
| Purdue Fort Wayne | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $25K | Resolved |
| Green Bay | 1% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $17K | Resolved |
| Robert Morris | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $17K | Resolved |
| Oakland | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $16K | Resolved |
| Northern Kentucky | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| Youngstown St. | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Cleveland St. | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Milwaukee | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $982 | Trade → |
| IU Indy | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $20 | Resolved |
This market asks which team will win the Horizon League Men's Basketball Tournament; the outcome determines the conference champion and the league's automatic NCAA tournament berth. It matters because tournament performance can alter postseason pathways and betting markets across college basketball.
The Horizon League is a Division I mid‑major conference whose postseason tournament typically uses a single‑elimination bracket involving all conference members; formats have included first‑round games and byes for higher seeds. Historically, top seeds and programs with established postseason experience have frequently prevailed, but the conference has a track record of upsets and competitive balance. Exact venue, schedule, and bracket structure can vary year to year, and this market reflects the specific roster of 11 outcomes listed.
Market prices reflect the aggregated expectations of traders about which team will be champion and will move as new information arrives; they are a snapshot of collective judgment, not guarantees. Watch for rapid price movement after game results, injury news, or official bracket announcements to understand shifting consensus.
The market will resolve when the Horizon League officially declares its tournament champion for the season in question; 'TBD' indicates the platform has not posted a firm closing timestamp, so resolution follows the league's published championship result.
The 11 outcomes correspond to the conference teams eligible at market creation; if a team becomes ineligible, withdraws, or the league issues a change, the market operator will follow its rules for updates or cancellations and will resolve based on the Horizon League's official championship recognition.
Byes shorten the number of games for top seeds and reduce upset risk, so bracket position matters: teams with fewer games face less fatigue and lower upset exposure, while lower seeds must win more consecutive elimination games.
Injury reports to star players, late suspensions or eligibility rulings, official bracket releases, surprising regular‑season results, and game‑day lineup announcements are the most likely catalysts for significant market movement.
Resolution follows the Horizon League's and NCAA's official record; if a title is vacated or an official correction is issued after the fact, the market operator will apply its published rules and official statements to determine final settlement.