| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 seed | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| #2 seed | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| #3 seed | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| #4 seed | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| #5 seed | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| #6 seed | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| #7 seed | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| #8 seed | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| #9 seed | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| #10 seed | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| #11 seed | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| #12 seed | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| #13 seed | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| #14 seed | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| #15 seed | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| #16 seed | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
This market asks which seed number (among the listed outcomes) will be the highest numerical seed to qualify for the tournament Semifinals. It matters because it captures the likelihood of deep runs by lower-seeded (higher-numbered) teams and reflects perceived upset risk and bracket dynamics.
Seeding ranks teams based on regular-season or qualification performance; historically, semifinals are most often occupied by top seeds but every tournament produces occasional deep runs by underdogs. The frequency and magnitude of high-seed semifinal appearances depend on sport-specific parity, playoff format, and single-elimination vs. series structures.
Market prices represent the collective market view about which seed will end up as the highest numerical seed in the semifinals; price changes reflect new information such as injuries, upsets, and bracket developments. Use prices as a dynamic signal, and consult the event’s settlement rules for precise timing and conditions.
Yes — with 16 outcomes the market typically lists each possible seed number (for example 1 through 16) as a separate outcome representing that seed being the highest numerical seed to reach the semifinals.
Settlement generally occurs once the tournament announces the official semifinal qualifiers and the bracket is finalized; because the event page shows 'Closes: TBD', check the market’s official settlement window and rules for the exact timing.
Settlement normally uses the original seed numbers assigned at the start of the tournament; if the competition reseeds, the outcome still refers to the original seed labels unless the market’s contract text specifies otherwise — confirm with the market’s official contract description.
Markets resolve according to their stated rules for withdrawals or disqualifications; typically the highest eligible seed among the teams that actually qualify is used for settlement, but you should review the market’s contingency and force-majeure clauses in the official rules.
Key movers include an upset in an earlier round that eliminates higher seeds, injury or suspension news for favorites, bracket redraws or reseeding announcements, and publicized changes in team travel or availability that materially alter a lower seed’s path to the semifinals.