| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #16 seed | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| #12 seed | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| #14 seed | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| #8 seed | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| #9 seed | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| #15 seed | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| #11 seed | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| #13 seed | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| #10 seed | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
This market asks which numerical seed (the largest seed number) will advance to the Round of 32 in the tournament. It matters because the advancement of a high-numbered seed signals a significant upset and can shift tournament narratives and betting markets.
Elimination tournaments assign seeds to teams based on selection committees, rankings, or qualifying results; lower numerical seeds are typically favored to advance. Historically, most Round of 32 slots are filled by higher-ranked (lower-numbered) seeds, but play‑in games, bracket placement and occasional upsets produce higher-numbered seeds advancing in some years. Current-season factors like late injuries, matchup styles, and conference strength can change which seeds are realistically capable of reaching the Round of 32.
Market prices reflect the collective view of participants about which seed is most likely to be the highest-numbered team to reach the Round of 32 and will move as new game results and information arrive. Use prices as a real‑time signal of market expectations, while remembering they are not guarantees and can change rapidly during the tournament.
It is the largest seed number assigned to any team that wins into the Round of 32; resolution uses the official seed numbers as published by the tournament organizer.
The market resolves after the tournament organizer officially announces the teams that have qualified for the Round of 32; the winning outcome is the single highest numerical seed among those qualifiers according to official results.
Yes. Teams that advance from play‑in or preliminary rounds and occupy seeded positions in the main bracket are assigned the official seed and count if they reach the Round of 32.
If two or more teams with the same highest numerical seed reach the Round of 32, the outcome corresponding to that seed value is the winner—markets resolve to the seed number, not to individual teams.
Track first‑round game results and upsets, injury reports and player availability, matchup analytics (style, tempo, defense), any late bracket changes or clarifications from the organizer, and scheduling factors like short turnarounds or travel that may affect underdog performance.