| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FURIA | 65% | 63¢ | 65¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Heroic | 35% | 34¢ | 35¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
This market asks which team will win the upcoming match between Heroic and FURIA; it matters because it aggregates bettor and spectator expectations about a single high-profile esports matchup.
Heroic and FURIA are professional Counter-Strike teams with distinct histories and playstyles; both have competed at international events and often face each other in leagues and tournaments. Matches between them are shaped by recent form, roster stability, and the specific tournament context (group stage, playoffs, bo1/bo3), all of which influence competitiveness.
Prediction market prices are a snapshot of collective expectations and update as new information appears (map vetoes, roster news, injuries). Use them as a dynamic signal rather than a fixed forecast and check the market again when match-specific details are announced.
The event page lists closure as TBD; markets for individual matches typically close near the scheduled match start or when organizers lock the match. Check the official tournament schedule and the market page for the final closing time and match time.
Map vetoes are crucial because each team has maps they perform better or worse on; once the veto process is known (or if a specific map is announced), markets often adjust to reflect those map-specific advantages.
Material changes include confirmed substitutions, a key player missing due to illness or travel, or the presence of an unfamiliar stand-in; such news can change perceived team strength, cohesion, and strategies, and markets typically move quickly in response.
Head-to-head history is informative but context-dependent: give greater weight to recent matches, matches on the same maps, and matches from similar tournament settings (bo1 vs bo3). Older results or those with different rosters are less predictive.
Factors include travel fatigue, time-zone differences affecting players’ performance, tournament pressure (group elimination vs. low-stakes match), last-minute technical or connectivity issues, and any late-breaking team or coaching announcements.