| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Bridgeman beats Collin Morikawa | 4% | 5¢ | 8¢ | — | $24K | Trade → |
| Collin Morikawa beats Jacob Bridgeman | 88% | 89¢ | 96¢ | — | $15K | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on which of the two named competitors—Bridgeman or Morikawa—will outperform the other in the specified head-to-head matchup. It matters because head-to-head markets concentrate on relative performance and react to event-specific developments.
Head-to-head markets compare two competitors directly rather than forecasting absolute outcomes; they are commonly used across sports to isolate which athlete or team will finish ahead in a single contest or measurable performance. The market aggregates participant views and updates as new information arrives — for example, injury news, lineup changes, or event conditions — and settlement follows the platform's stated rules for this listing.
Market prices represent the collective expectations of traders about which competitor will finish ahead; they are signals that change as relevant information becomes available, but they are not guarantees. Use price movement, alongside independent information about the competitors and the event, to form a view.
The event page currently shows the close time as TBD; the market will typically close before the start of the underlying contest or when the platform specifies—check the KALSHI event page for the definitive closing time.
This head-to-head market offers two mutually exclusive outcomes: one corresponding to Bridgeman finishing ahead of Morikawa in the specified event, and the other corresponding to Morikawa finishing ahead of Bridgeman; settlement will follow the official result as defined in the event description.
Settlement in the event of postponement or cancellation depends on the platform's stated contingencies for this market; consult the event description and KALSHI's rules for whether the market will be voided, rescheduled, or settled based on alternative criteria.
Monitor official start time and venue confirmations, injury or withdrawal reports, lineup or pairing announcements, authoritative statements from organizers or the competitors, and environmental factors (e.g., weather) that could influence performance.
No — settlement is based on the outcome of the specified event only; past matches inform expectations but do not change the settlement mechanics unless the event description explicitly incorporates historical results or tie-break rules.