| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magnus Carlsen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Levon Aronian | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Vincent Keymer | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hans Niemann | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Artur Jussupow | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alexandra Kosteniuk | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Igor Kovalenko | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Nodirbek Abdusattorov | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ian Nepomniachtchi | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Vladimir Fedoseev | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jan-Krzysztof Duda | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Parham Maghsoodloo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Leinier Dominguez Perez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which named entry will be declared the Grenke Chess Open winner; it matters because the result affects player standings, ratings, and community expectations for future events.
The Grenke Chess Open is part of the broader Grenke Chess Festival, historically attracting a mix of grandmasters, titled players, and strong amateurs competing in an open tournament format. Winners of the event often gain prestige and rating points, and the tournament outcome can signal shifts in form for players ahead of other international events.
Market prices represent the collective view of which listed entrant is most likely to win and will move as new information—such as pairings, results, withdrawals, or health updates—arrives.
The event page lists the market close as TBD; typically the platform will set a closing time tied to the tournament schedule (often before the first move of the final round or when final pairings are known), so check the market page for the confirmed close.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific listed entrant or option designated by the market creator; the count indicates there are 13 named options that market participants can back as the eventual winner.
If players finish level on points, tournament tiebreaks—such as Buchholz, Sonneborn–Berger, head-to-head results, or a playoff if specified—will determine the official winner, and the market will pay based on the tournament’s declared champion according to those rules.
Consider both past head-to-head records and the practical impact of upcoming pairings: facing higher-rated opponents late in the event can reduce short-term win probability, while favorable pairings or facing rivals who are fatigued can improve prospects.
Yes—open tournaments regularly produce upsets due to strong short-term form, favorable pairings, decisive tiebreak advantages, withdrawals, or exceptional tournament performance; such scenarios are part of why markets watch evolving information closely.