| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Minnesota | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which team will win the Green Bay at Minnesota game; it matters because the outcome affects standings, injury outlooks, and how traders assign value to short-term team performance.
Green Bay and Minnesota are long-time NFC North rivals with frequent, often close matchups; historical rivalry, roster continuity, and recent form all shape expectations. Games between these teams often carry divisional implications and are sensitive to injuries, weather, and turnover swings, making them focal points for both fans and markets.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations of participants based on available information and will move as new information (injuries, weather, lineup announcements) arrives. Interpreting prices means tracking how the market updates to changing conditions rather than viewing any single snapshot as definitive.
This market resolves based on the NFL's official final game result; the exact market close time is set by KALSHI and is typically tied to the official finalization of the game's outcome.
There are two outcomes corresponding to a Green Bay win and a Minnesota win; the market settles to whichever team is the official winner at the end of the game, including overtime if applicable.
A starter-level quarterback injury typically produces a rapid re-evaluation: backup performance history, expected game plan changes (more/less passing), and confidence in other skill-position players all influence how participants update expectations and prices.
Home-field factors include crowd noise, travel for Green Bay, local weather (cold and wind can favor run-oriented or conservative game plans), and familiarity with the surface; all can tilt game dynamics, especially late in the season.
Settlement follows KALSHI's published rules and the NFL's official determination: if the game is postponed, canceled, or declared a tie, the market will be resolved according to those specific platform rules—check KALSHI's event terms for exact procedures.