| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 85% | 67¢ | 97¢ | — | $20 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 1¢ | 59¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Great Britain | 0% | 1¢ | 31¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market resolves on the game state after the first five innings of the Great Britain vs USA matchup, trading which team—if any—is leading at that point. It matters because early-game pitching and lineup decisions disproportionately determine short-form outcomes compared with a full-game market.
Great Britain vs USA is an international/domestic matchup where rosters and usage patterns can differ from regular league play; teams may use different starting pitchers or lineup strategies than in longer-season contexts. The first-five focus isolates early-game dynamics—starter performance, batting order, and managerial choices—so historical full-game form can be less predictive than immediate pregame information.
Market prices represent the collective view of traders about who will be ahead (or tied) after five innings and should be interpreted as evolving consensus information, not guarantees. Use them alongside real-time updates on starters, lineups, and conditions to form a view.
The market settles based on the score after the completion of the fifth inning (after both teams have batted five times). If play is suspended before five innings are completed, settlement will follow the market's official terms—check the event page for those rules.
There are three traded outcomes: Great Britain leading after five innings, USA leading after five innings, and the score being tied after five innings.
Track the announced starting pitchers and their recent workloads, official lineups and batting order, bullpen availability, and real-time weather/park conditions—any late changes to these items materially affect first-five prospects.
A late substitution of the starting pitcher or key hitters alters run and inning expectations quickly; an unexpected opener or a scratch in the top of the order can change which side is favored to lead after five innings, so markets typically move fast on such news.
Closing time is listed on the event page (currently TBD); many markets close at or just before first pitch, but check the page for the official close. If the game is suspended or not completed through five innings, settlement follows the exchange's published rules for incomplete contests.