| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Great Britain | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $179K | Trade → |
| Italy | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $116K | Trade → |
This market asks which of two outcomes—Great Britain or Italy—will prevail in an upcoming sports matchup. It matters because the market aggregates participant expectations and responds to late-breaking information that affects the match result.
Great Britain and Italy represent national teams meeting in a competitive fixture; the specific sport and competition context determine the tactical matchup, stakes, and fan interest. Historical meetings between the sides, recent form, and tournament implications all shape expectations, while rosters and preparation can change the dynamics shortly before kickoff.
Market prices are a real-time summary of traders' views on which outcome is expected to occur; price moves show how new information shifts those views. Traded volume ($295,762 to date) gives a sense of liquidity—higher volume tends to make prices more stable but does not guarantee any particular outcome.
This market offers two outcomes corresponding to which side wins the matchup: Great Britain or Italy. There is no separate outcome for draws if the market lists two outcomes only.
The market close is listed as TBD; check the KALSHI event page for the official close time and any updates as the match date approaches.
The $295,762 in traded volume reflects total money matched so far; higher volume generally means greater liquidity and that prices incorporate more information, but it does not guarantee resolution or predictive accuracy.
Key movers include confirmed starting lineups, injury or suspension news, travel or venue changes, late tactical announcements from coaches, and any disruptions such as adverse weather or logistical delays.
Resolution follows KALSHI's market rules for event contingencies; outcomes in cases of postponement, cancellation, or penalty-decided results depend on the platform's published settlement policy, so consult the event rules on KALSHI for specifics.