| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McLaughlin | 4% | 4¢ | 7¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Josef Newgarden | 17% | 17¢ | 27¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| David Malukas | 22% | 22¢ | 23¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Alex Palou | 18% | 13¢ | 18¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Graham Rahal | 6% | 1¢ | 4¢ | — | $606 | Trade → |
| Pato O’Ward | 12% | 8¢ | 12¢ | — | $555 | Trade → |
| Christian Rasmussen | 5% | 2¢ | 3¢ | — | $478 | Trade → |
| Kyle Kirkwood | 8% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $107 | Trade → |
| Marcus Armstrong | 6% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $104 | Trade → |
| Caio Collet | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $8 | Trade → |
| Alexander Rossi | 5% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $8 | Trade → |
| Mick Schumacher | 3% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $5 | Trade → |
| Christian Lundgaard | 3% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $3 | Trade → |
| Will Power | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nolan Siegel | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Felix Rosenqvist | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Santino Ferrucci | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Scott Dixon | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rinus Veekay | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kyffin Simpson | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dennis Hauger | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sting Ray Robb | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Louis Foster | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Marcus Ericsson | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Romain Grosjean | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders buy and sell positions on which competitor will win the Grand Prix of Phoenix. It matters because it aggregates public information about contenders and reacts to late-breaking race and team developments.
The Grand Prix of Phoenix is an auto-racing event with a history of being run in different formats and calendars; venue layout, race distance, and series rules have varied over time. Those historical variations mean that past winners provide context but do not deterministically predict future outcomes; entry lists, car performance, and calendar timing all shape the field for any given edition.
Market prices reflect the aggregated expectations of traders and move as new information (qualifying, weather, injuries, technical bulletins) arrives. They are indicators of consensus sentiment, not guarantees, and can change rapidly up to market close.
The official close time is listed on the trading platform and is currently TBD; markets for race winners typically close shortly before the race start, and you should check the event page for the exact cutoff before placing orders.
The market resolves to the competitor declared the official race winner by the series or event organizers after any post-race reviews and penalties; the platform follows those official results when settling contracts.
Those outcomes correspond to individual entrants expected to compete; if a listed competitor withdraws or is replaced, resolution and any adjustments depend on the platform's market rules and will be communicated on the event page.
Settlement follows the platform’s stated rules and the series’ definition of an official race; commonly, if the race reaches the series’ threshold for an official result the winner stands, while outright cancellations or non-official results may lead to voiding or other specified treatments.
Qualifying is a strong indicator because starting position affects race dynamics, but practice and team communications reveal pace, setup changes, and reliability issues; combine those signals with historical performance at Phoenix and current weather to form an assessment.