| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas wins the 1H by over 13.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dallas wins the 1H by over 4.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Golden State wins the 1H by over 14.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dallas wins the 1H by over 16.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dallas wins the 1H by over 10.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Golden State wins the 1H by over 8.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dallas wins the 1H by over 1.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Golden State wins the 1H by over 11.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Golden State wins the 1H by over 2.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dallas wins the 1H by over 7.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Golden State wins the 1H by over 5.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team will cover the First Half spread in the Golden State vs Dallas matchup on KALSHI. It matters for traders and bettors who want to express views about early-game performance and matchup-specific advantages before or during game day.
Golden State and Dallas are NBA teams whose first-half dynamics are shaped by pace, rotations, and how their star players start games. First-half spreads isolate the opening 24-minute window, which can differ from full-game outcomes because of rotation patterns, matchup quirks, and in-game adjustments. The market offers multiple discrete spread outcomes (11 options) and the official close/settlement timing is listed on the market page (TBD if not yet set).
Market odds reflect traders' collective views about which spread outcome is most likely and update as new information arrives; they are informational signals, not guarantees. Use odds alongside game-day data (lineups, injuries, rest) and your own analysis when deciding whether to trade.
This market settles based on the official first-half result as defined by the market rules—typically after the conclusion of the second quarter. Check the market description for the precise settlement condition and timestamp if listed (closing time may be TBD).
The 11 outcomes correspond to discrete spread intervals or specific spread lines chosen by the market creator; each outcome covers a range of possible first-half point differentials. View the event page to see the exact spread ranges for each outcome.
Watch official injury updates, confirmed starting lineups, pregame warmup reports, announced rest decisions, and late scratches—these directly affect first-half expectations and can move the market quickly.
Past first-half results can highlight tendencies—such as one team typically starting faster—but history is only one input. Roster changes, coaching adjustments, and context (home/away, rest) can reduce the relevance of older games.
A late-out or lineup change usually shifts market prices as traders update expectations; settlement still follows the official first-half score, so consider whether the market price reflects the new information before placing or adjusting positions.