| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy wins the 1H by over 7.5 points | 40% | 16¢ | 40¢ | — | $238 | Trade → |
| Troy wins the 1H by over 1.5 points | 46% | 46¢ | 68¢ | — | $89 | Trade → |
| Georgia Southern wins the 1H by over 5.5 points | 26% | 6¢ | 26¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Georgia Southern wins the 1H by over 2.5 points | 0% | 14¢ | 38¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Troy wins the 1H by over 10.5 points | 0% | 8¢ | 28¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Troy wins the 1H by over 19.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Georgia Southern wins the 1H by over 8.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Troy wins the 1H by over 13.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Troy wins the 1H by over 16.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Troy wins the 1H by over 4.5 points | 0% | 29¢ | 51¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Georgia Southern wins the 1H by over 11.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders express views on the first-half point spread between Georgia Southern and Troy, focusing on which side will lead (within specified spread intervals) at halftime. First-half markets matter because they isolate early-game performance and can move differently than full-game lines due to tempo, starting personnel, and coaching strategy.
Georgia Southern and Troy are regional opponents with frequent Sun Belt Conference matchups; their games are often decided by contrasting offensive styles, turnover battles, and in-game adjustments. Historical context—such as recent meetings, coaching changes, and the programs' tendencies on early downs—helps frame expectations but should be weighed alongside current-season form and roster availability.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations of traders about which spread-range outcome will occur at halftime; they update as new information arrives and remain actionable until the exchange’s stated close. Use price movement together with independent information (injury reports, weather, lineups) to inform decisions rather than as the sole input.
The event page shows the market close as TBD; the exchange will publish the official close time. Settlement is based on the official halftime score as determined by the game’s official timekeeper and the exchange’s settlement rules—check the KALSHI event terms for exact procedures.
Each outcome represents a specific first-half point-differential range (for example, different intervals favoring either team or a tie). The event page lists the exact mapping of outcome labels to score ranges—refer to those labels to understand which outcome matches a given halftime result.
Announcements about starters, particularly quarterbacks or key defenders, typically shift expectations for first-half performance and can move prices quickly. Traders should monitor official team reports and trusted beat reporters; the market tends to incorporate verified injury and lineup news rapidly.
Yes—home-field factors like crowd noise, travel fatigue for the visitor, and familiarity with the playing surface often influence early-game momentum. Confirm which team is the designated home side on the event page and consider any venue-specific issues when evaluating the market.
Large pregame moves typically indicate new information (e.g., a late injury, weather update) or concentrated trading activity. Distinguish between moves driven by confirmed fundamental news versus speculative flows, and cross-check with official sources before acting—rapid moves do not guarantee the on-field outcome.