| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's wins by over 15.5 Points | 53% | 53¢ | 55¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| St. John's wins by over 12.5 Points | 66% | 61¢ | 66¢ | — | $531 | Trade → |
| St. John's wins by over 24.5 Points | 27% | 21¢ | 27¢ | — | $517 | Trade → |
| St. John's wins by over 18.5 Points | 45% | 40¢ | 44¢ | — | $374 | Trade → |
| St. John's wins by over 21.5 Points | 35% | 30¢ | 34¢ | — | $170 | Trade → |
| St. John's wins by over 9.5 Points | 76% | 70¢ | 76¢ | — | $113 | Trade → |
| St. John's wins by over 6.5 Points | 84% | 79¢ | 83¢ | — | $98 | Trade → |
| St. John's wins by over 3.5 Points | 92% | 86¢ | 92¢ | — | $35 | Trade → |
| St. John's wins by over 30.5 Points | 14% | 9¢ | 13¢ | — | $33 | Trade → |
| St. John's wins by over 27.5 Points | 21% | 14¢ | 20¢ | — | $23 | Trade → |
This market asks traders to predict the point-spread outcome for the college basketball game Georgetown at St. John's — effectively which team will cover and by what margin. Spread markets matter because they aggregate public information about relative team strength and in-game factors into tradable prices.
Georgetown and St. John’s are long-time programs that have met frequently within the same conference; matchups between them are often influenced by coaching styles, roster construction, and home-court environment. This particular market has ten discrete spread outcomes and has seen $5,943 in volume, indicating a modest level of liquidity; settlement timing is listed as TBD so traders should monitor the market for updates. Market prices can shift quickly on new information such as injuries, rotations, or late lineup changes.
Prices in a spread market reflect the market's consensus about which margin range is most likely; each outcome corresponds to a particular point-margin interval and the collective prices show how expectations are distributed. Changes in price indicate the market incorporating new information — not guarantees of a result — and the final settlement depends on the official game score according to the platform's rules.
The market page currently lists the close as TBD, so traders should watch the market for an announced closing time; resolution will follow the platform’s official settlement rules once the game completes.
The ten outcomes divide the possible final point differential into discrete margin ranges (from a St. John's blowout through a Georgetown win by a large margin); each outcome corresponds to one of those intervals and only the interval containing the official final margin wins.
A late injury or scratch typically reduces expected scoring or defensive stability and will usually shift market prices toward outcomes favoring St. John's; traders will reprice the spread based on the projected lineup and minutes lost.
Home-court tends to confer a consistent advantage due to crowd support and reduced travel, so it is a factor traders consider when assessing which margin ranges are plausible for this matchup.
Settlement typically uses the official final score as recorded by the league, which includes overtime; check the KALSHI market rules on the event page to confirm that overtime is included in this market’s resolution.