| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 0% | 15¢ | 19¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 42¢ | 51¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Roma | 0% | 34¢ | 38¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which side will be leading at halftime in the Genoa vs Roma match (Genoa win, Roma win, or draw). First-half outcomes matter for short-term match dynamics and in-play decision-making.
Genoa and Roma are Italian clubs that frequently meet in Serie A and domestic cups; Genoa is one of Italy's oldest clubs while Roma has a longer history of competing near the top of the league and in European competitions. Matches between clubs of different profiles can produce cautious first halves or early tactical skirmishes that set the tone for the rest of the game.
Market prices reflect the collective assessment of which team will be leading at the 45-minute mark and react to information such as confirmed lineups, injuries, and in-game developments; use price moves as signals of new information rather than fixed truth.
This market offers three outcomes: Genoa leading at halftime, Roma leading at halftime, or the score being level at the official halftime whistle.
If the match fails to reach the official halftime whistle, the market is typically voided and stakes returned according to the platform's settlement policy; consult the market operator's (KALSHI) rules for final guidance.
Confirmed starting XI announcements shortly before kickoff are high-impact information and often move market prices because they change expected first-half tactics and threat levels.
The official halftime score after all VAR reviews and the referee's confirmation is used for settlement; only goals that stand at the halftime whistle count.
A first-half red card can materially influence which team is leading at halftime, but the market is settled on the official halftime score regardless of disciplinary events.